Tolerant to a fault
Facing a long transition to 3G services, today's wireless networks look to stretch the meaning of reliability and test the patience of data usersFault
tolerance is one of those sneaky little puns. To most telecom people, it
describes a network's reliability and resilience to faults. But in discussion
about wireless networks, the temptation is to turn the phrase on its ear, and
apply it instead to wireless users and their saintly tolerance for the network's
persistent faults.
It
is difficult to say who is more willing to accept that users will experience a
certain number of dropped calls on wireless networks: the carriers, or the users
themselves. Either through Pavlovian conditioning by their carriers or because
of their own persistent nature, users seem to live with network imperfection. If
the call drops, they just call back.
"The
price for mobility has always been a higher tolerance of disruptions in the
connectivity," said Joseph Neil, Technical Marketing Engineer at Cisco
Systems. And for the most part, wireless carriers have thrived despite their
services' patterns of imperfection. However, the emergence of wireless data may
force the industry to think again about fault tolerance and what it really
means.
"Wireless
networks are not currently designed to be fault-tolerant data networks,"
said Neil. "Data over wireless to this point has been much more like a 9.6
kb/s connection is over wireline. It's really no fun at all, and there are not
really any interesting data applications or content designed for wireless
users."
That
promises to change in the future with the transition to IP-based 2.5G and 3G
data and Internet services. And in tandem, any theories about wireless users'
higher tolerance for disruptions are likely to crumble: Whereas mobile voice
initially was seen as a luxury, mobile data will, from the start, be viewed as a
utility.
"Dropped
calls are so frequent with mobile voice that it's considered an inherent part of
mobile architectures, but users have been trained on data as a reliable desktop
medium," said Neil. With very little data traffic so far, wireless users
have not begun to change their attitudes toward network problems--but they will.
"Subscribers
have come to have an expectation of immediate service from their data
devices," said Jeff Rinscheid, director of product marketing and network
operations software at Lucent Technologies. "They will be more demanding
with data. They won't put up with outages and delays that stop them from sending
files or e-mail. They will jump carriers more often if this happens. The churn
rate will go up, and they will look for the carriers with the best promise of
data reliability."
At
the same time that users are getting demanding about data, wireless carriers
likely will be struggling to integrate and manage new IP network overlays to
support these services.
"Wireless
carriers will encounter more network faults as they bring IP technology into
their networks and introduce packet data services," said Neil, adding that
these problems will not be caused by quality issues in regard to the packet
technology itself, or by carriers' inexperience in trafficking packets.
Rather,
the bigger fault tolerance problem wireless carriers will face with packet-based
data services is more rooted in the traditional network shortcomings. They have
not been engineered from the beginning with reliability in mind. Network
coverage is not consistently strong over large areas, and air-interface
connectivity can never be guaranteed during peak-usage hours in popular
locations.
In
addition to the engineering issues, carriers also have had problems in managing
over-subscription to their services and handling the increase in traffic created
by influxes of new users and services.
Two
early-phase data services already have shown where fault tolerance falls short.
SMS,
a pre-packet service leveraged on SS7 technology, took off as an initial data
medium. But even though its capabilities limit the number of characters in each
message, the service still has a tendency to choke up signal transfer points.
"The
number of people getting on the network at any given time is what most figures
into bandwidth congestion," said Matt Standish, product market manager at
Concord Communications, a vendor of network reporting software. "When
everyone is using SMS at the same time, that leaves quality of service a
challenge."
NTT
DoCoMo's i-Mode is another transitional content service whose popularity has
given the wireless industry reason to believe in data's promise, but like SMS,
it also has proved that carriers are not able to manage all the aspects of even
an early-phase data service.
"DoCoMo's
service was actually too successful, which led to fault problems. Older routers
passing the data traffic to old MSCs couldn't handle the traffic. Reliability
was not designed into the configuration," said Neil, whose company is
working with DoCoMo to help improve service reliability.
These
early experiences leave the industry in a precarious position as it begins the
near-term move to packet technologies, such as GPRS and CDMA 1X. "The
vision is for wireless carriers to eventually move to all-IP infrastructures to
get better services," Neil said. "Building in 2.5G data capabilities
is the first step in that direction. As 2.5G becomes ubiquitous, it will become
clear that most mobile networks are under-engineered in terms of over-the-air
interfacing, even in their hot spots. There's congestion on wireless networks
because they are not engineered for wireline reliability. When you get dropped
data packets, it will not necessarily be because there's a problem with
IP."
In
some ways, introduction of packet technologies will actually ease the lot of
wireless carriers seeking to control fault tolerance as they launch data
services. For instance, IP architectures are inherently more intelligent than
traditional TDM networks because with IP, intelligence exists in each network
element. This makes IP architectures easier to manage and packet network
elements easier to tap for important performance data. Also, CDMA 1X actually
allows more voice users to use the network along with data traffic.
Cisco's
Neil added, "Once you get past the congested points in the network, IP
overlays can be engineered to be extremely robust. IP no longer has generic
problems of unavailability and dropped packets."
Yet,
if those congested points exist, dropped voice calls and scrambled data packets
will be a fact. Both IP technology and network management vendors believe the
only way for carriers to improve fault tolerance on their data overlays is by
better engineering their network foundations and existing air-interfaces to
handle variable traffic loads.
"Carriers
have to come up with design rules for data, and they are not the same as for
voice," said Des Owens, president of Actix, a network management vendor.
Still, he admitted they face an uphill climb into thick fog as they do so.
"With the introduction of packet data, there are a lot of new terminals and
applications, a lot of new complexity. We're all flying blind. There's a lot of
new stuff to juggle."
For
example, Owens said a carrier running a GPRS trial in Frankfurt, Germany,
recently discovered how a planeload of Germans landing at the airport can
quickly lead to a network bottleneck as all of their GPRS phones get turned on
simultaneously. "That's why will see soft launches of wireless packet data.
Right now, companies can't market it as an always-on solution."
Standish
added, "With 2.5G and 3G, there will be content trends that occur at
different times of day, just as there are network trends. Fault and performance
management is very critical to a progressive rollout of content services."
Lucent's
Rinscheid also said the learning curve will make it difficult for carriers to
provision services as quickly as they do today.
"With
data, you will have a harder time with service provisioning because you will be
offering customers many more choices and services. Reps are already overwhelmed
by the volume of new service activations, and operations people are probably not
ready for that volume of service provisioning today."
Wireless
carriers traditionally have been more reactive than proactive in handling
network problems that arise from traffic overloads, service provisioning
problems and the like. The era of packet data is not beginning much differently.
Owens said Actix is usually called in after carriers have built data capability
and done drive tests, but still have no real visibility into the performance of
these services or the network elements running them.
"They
are still in a troubleshooting and improving stage."
Said
Rinscheid, "On the surveillance side, carriers can generously engineer
their networks in preparation for 3G, but everybody will still get it wrong
because we don't have the experience yet to know how much capacity data traffic
will require. It will be hard to predict when a data call will be made or when
data traffic will peak. Are carriers' routing table optimized for data? We don't
really know yet."
Lucent
Bell Labs has created a system called Oscelot that hypothetically optimizes a
network based on the introduction of data services and traffic into the existing
network. Rinscheid said the product was created with data in mind, and accounts
for how it affects network fault tolerance overall. On the network management
end, carriers also have to invest in surveillance solutions for packet network
overlays.
"Knowing
what is really broken is difficult. If you cut a fiber, Sonet lets you know
about it. Packet gear can let you know when a connection has been lost, if an IP
tunnel is lost," said Rinscheid. However, wireless carrier may have a
tendency to keep their overlay experts separated and focused only on management
of their own overlays. Instead, carriers should not invest in separate
surveillance centers for IP, ATM, SS7 and other overlays. They should invest in
a comprehensive NOC.
"What
you need is a coordinated effort-centralized network management," said
Rinscheid.
As
packet overlays become more widespread, Rinscheid said packet controls will help
carriers better manage changing data traffic patterns. These controls include
call gapping, which spaces traffic to allows calls only once every 10 seconds,
and advanced call routing, in which calls are sent through alternate facilities
to balance the load.
Concord's
Standish agrees with the importance of having integrated fault management, and
said carriers will have to establish congestion thresholds and learn to perform
root cause analysis. "You need to correlate groups of users and certain
segments of the network over certain times of day. Wireless data networking will
have usage trends, and that's what you need to pay attention to."
But,
as Cisco's Neil said, the big questions for carriers seeking improved fault
tolerance remain 'What's the cost?' and 'Will carriers want to pay it?'
"Carriers are cutting costs. Are they willing to pay for a more robust
network? Traditionally, they haven't been."
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