Carly, you go girl
When 60s hipster Carly Simon made her 80s comeback, she sang--in a
rather sad lament about long-term relationships being as exciting as
they are going to get--that people should come to terms with the idea
that it's all about "the slow and steady fire." After all, you can't
make the birds sing, set the fireworks off or make the walls come down
every time. Can you?
Well, I know you can. I was referring to the rest of the
readers.
Another famous Carly, one that happens to be the CEO of HP, is singing
the same song to the analyst community. Carly Fiorina blasted analysts
recently in a Financial Times article for setting unrealistic
expectations for tech companies in terms of quarterly earnings. She
also said that putting too much emphasis, once again, on analysts'
estimates in general is a mistake.
She's right. Major players in the telecom industry have been around for
decades if not already into their second centuries. They would probably
perform better if they had the flexibility and freedom from outside
pressures to continue building and acting to secure a prosperous
long-term future. It is difficult to do so when they have to worry
about getting critiqued on their performance every 90 days. (If you're
still thinking about the first Carly, then I hope for your sake the
interval is much shorter.)
Yes, corporations must be accountable to shareholders. And with the
shenanigans coming out of corporate boardrooms so far this century, the
need for a regular accounting is undeniable. But companies, like
civilizations, need to think longer term. The pressure to meet
quarterly analysts' projections is one of the things that got this
industry in trouble a few years ago. Carriers and large public vendors
need a little credit for building--and should be encouraged to continue
building--that slow and steady fire.
As is often the case, being right doesn't mean Carly II will change
anything. It was good enough just to be reminded that we need not set
the bar so high, so often. Besides, as you will see by some of the
stories below, if it weren't for quarterly earnings, the month of July
would be a pretty slow news month in telecom.
And speaking of quarterly earnings...given the way stocks go up and
down with the chaos around the world, can you imagine how volatile a
stock Google will be when it goes public? Every time a new virus comes
along, which is way too often already, there will be a new turn on the
Google rollercoaster. It should be quite a ride for those with the
stomach for it. These days, I prefer a nice carousel. But I do like my
fires a-cracklin'.
E-mail me at tmcelligott@primediabusiness.com
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© 2012 Penton Media Inc.
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