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DEBT-LADEN CARRIERS HIT PAYBACK TIME

Having cut costs as much as they can, carriers are now attacking one area of the balance sheet they can no longer ignore: debt. Some have begun de-levering; others say it's not needed. Can they all stave off bankruptcy?

DEBT METRICS (all numbers in billions)

Q4 net income (loss) Debt*
Sprint 
(PCS and FON consolidated)
($1.23) $25.88
SBC  $7.24 $31.78
Qwest ($4.01) $24.9
Verizon $0.39 $96.76
WorldCom $2.07 $28.45
AT&T** ($1.39) $92.85
BellSouth $1.89 $28.49
*Debt calculated by totaling debt due within next 12 months plus long-term debt and other noncurrent liabilities
**AT&T Wireless was reported in AT&T's income statements as a discontinued operation until June 2001

Chairman and CEO Joe Nacchio said the carrier is starting the debt reduction plan with the securities sale because it is the quickest alternative and “takes the pressure off the negotiation of any asset sale.” But as much as half of the proceeds will be linked to equity issuance, which dilutes existing shares. “The trouble is that equity is beaten down, and to issue it is very punitive,” said Matthew Crakes, a vice president for Merrill Lynch.

The rest of the debt reduction effort will be addressed by selling assets or securities associated with assets.

Nacchio said Qwest may sell wireless assets, its application service provider group or rural access lines. While all three are noncore assets, selling rural access lines appears to be the most likely scenario. “When we say access lines, we are looking to particular qualifications,” Nacchio said. “It will be a deliberate plan.”

Morgan Stanley's Colandrea believes Qwest should cut more than its stated $1.5 billion to $2 billion in debt. “That's the minimum requirement.”

A rural access line sale by Qwest — something analysts have anticipated for more than a year — should be easier than past large telco exchange sales, which have generated between $3000 and $4000 per access line. Last year, a planned sale of 560,000 lines to Citizens Communications collapsed after Citizens claimed Qwest overstated the earnings potential and refused to renegotiate the contract. (A lawsuit over the issue is currently in arbitration, according to a Citizens spokeswoman.)

Likely bidders for Qwest's rural assets, Alltel, TDS and CenturyTel — the so-called 2% telcos that are aren't regulated as strictly as Bell companies — are looking to expand. “Their ideal is to get up to the 2% level and stop,” said John Laprise, an analyst for New Paradigm Resource Group.

Moreover, a new rule within the Rural Utility Services program lets rural telcos apply for low-cost loans to acquire assets. “Right now is a great time to be selling those kind of assets,” Laprise said.

Qwest also could sell off its directory group, a move Broadwing made last week in a $345 million deal with CBD Media. A Broadwing spokeswoman said the company doesn't necessarily have a formal program for debt reduction, but “we have had the goal for some time to be free cash-flow positive. The advertising/directory business is not core to our business.”

Broadwing's payphone and payphone clearinghouse businesses also may be available soon. In announcing an operating loss of $171 million for 2001, Broadwing Chairman-elect and CEO Rick Ellenberger told analysts Broadwing is considering selling noncore assets to give the company a cash cushion.


With additional reporting by Toby Weber, Donny Jackson and Kevin Fitchard in Chicago.

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